There's so much news I don't know where to begin! First, the bad news. In the wake of his announcement, it seems that Mitt Romney is opening up a bit of lead on the other contenders, actually getting to 30 percent of the vote in one poll if Sarah Palin doesn't run. But speaking of Sarah Palin, it seems that she's been on the receiving end of an attack from Michelle Bachmann's new Campaign head, Ed Rollins! Why was Ed Rollins first act as chief of her campaign, to go out and attack Sarah Palin in an interview? That of course has led to a bit of a feud between the two camps. Of course ultimately Michelle Bachmann is another Gary Johnson. Gary would've done well if Ron Paul hadn't run, but since Ron is running there's just no reason for anybody to support Gary. So it is with Michelle Bachmann, she no doubt could do well if Sarah Palin doesn't run, but if Palin does run then there's no reason for anybdoy to support Bachmann, and she will do extremely poorly. Granted there was a poll on Bill O'Reilly last night showing her ahead of Palin 60-40 in a head to head contest, but that's an online poll taken before Sarah Palin got in. If she gets in, those numbers would change DRAMATICLY.
On a happier 2012 front, it seems the Ron Paul campaign keeps picking up steam! He recently got another major endorsement in Iowa, another State Representative has endorsed Ron's candidacy, this time Freshman State Rep Kim Pearson! A fellow Tea Partier, she won a VERY tough race last go-round, and now she's supporting Ron Paul for President! For all of you Iowa readers, watch that name, Kim Pearson, you might be seeing it for Senator or Governor one day, and if so, please remember to give her your full support! That's not all the Ron Paul news though, because he also picked up a major endorsement in New Hampshire as well! State Senator Jim Forsythe has not only endorsed Ron Paul for President, he's actually agreed to be the Chairman of Ron's New Hampshire Campaign! Of course New Hampshire's legislature is a citizen-legislature, so they have lots and lots of free time, State Senators from other states might be too busy to do something like that, but not in New Hampshire! This is a HUGE plus for Doctor Paul, so now his Iowa and New Hampshire campaigns are really starting to take off! Stay tuned for more 2012 updates!
Showing posts with label Campaign 2012. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Campaign 2012. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 08, 2011
Wednesday, June 01, 2011
Shocking New Iowa Poll
A new poll from the First Caucus State of Iowa was just released today, and it has some very shocking numbers. First, the not-shocking part is that Establishment favorite Mitt Romney continues to hold a narrow lead, with 21 percent of the vote. However while it also isn't surprising that Sarah Palin is in second with 15 percent, what is absolutely shocking is that she is tied for second with Herman Cain! The former head of Godfather's Pizza has zoomed up to 15 percent in Iowa, totally shocking. Newt Gingrich is in 4th, still with 12 percent of the vote despite his scandals and huge sleaze factor, Michelle Bachmann has climbed into the double digits, scoring a 5th place showing with 11 percent of the vote, Tim Pawlenty also has double digits now in 6th place with 10 percent, Ron Paul sadly is all the way back in 7th place in this poll with just 8 percent of the vote, ahead of only John Huntsman, who has 0 percent (he literally only got 1 vote in the entire polling sample).
This poll tells us a lot of things, first of course that name recognition and being the Establishment's Man is still good for first place in Iowa, at least right now, and it also shows that Governor Palin is still a major force in Iowa politics, despite having done virtually nothing to boost her standing there. However what's much more interesting about this poll is how the lesser known Conservatives are doing, particularly Mr Herman Cain. As a successful Businessman and cancer survivor, Herman Cain brings powerful leadership skills to the table. He seems to have a strong Conservative resume as well, no doubt that especially helps in a state like Iowa. The fact is that Cain has very little money, and is zooming up pretty much entirely due to the strength of his South Carolina Debate performance, and subsequent interviews. I don't know much about the man, but from what little I do know he seems like a very genuine and likable fellow, somebody who is extremely qualified and very trustworthy. I look forward to seeing and hearing more from this excellent candidate.
Another part of the poll that might be a bit surprising is that Newt Gingrich still somehow has 12 percent of the vote, I guess thats entirely due to name recognition, because he's alienated so many people at this point its a wonder he's even still in the race. Michelle Bachmann continues to climb in the poll, she's up to 11 percent, and she's one of those candidates who would probably benefit most should Newt continue to sink. Tim Pawlenty is somehow at 10 percent despite basicly being a bland, boring nobody. And Ron Paul does surprisingly poorly in this poll, the only major candidate to not be in the double digits, albeit he's close at 8 percent. Certainly you could say that he's within the margin of error for 4th place, so many candidates are packed so close together, and of course if you looked at Ron Paul this time in 2007 he was at about 1 percent in Iowa, and still managed to get 10 percent of the vote in both the Ames Straw Poll and on Caucus Night. His starting point this time around is thus eight times stronger, and by that logic he will finish on Caucus night with 80 percent of the vote....OK maybe not :) . But this much stronger starting point definitely gives him a much better shot at winning the Caucuses, and he's also much stronger on the ground this time around in advance of the critical Ames Straw Poll in August , which could go a very long way toward making Ron the man to beat come Caucus night.
So some major developments in the 2012 Presidential Race, stay tuned to the Gladiator Blog for more coverage of Election 2012!
This poll tells us a lot of things, first of course that name recognition and being the Establishment's Man is still good for first place in Iowa, at least right now, and it also shows that Governor Palin is still a major force in Iowa politics, despite having done virtually nothing to boost her standing there. However what's much more interesting about this poll is how the lesser known Conservatives are doing, particularly Mr Herman Cain. As a successful Businessman and cancer survivor, Herman Cain brings powerful leadership skills to the table. He seems to have a strong Conservative resume as well, no doubt that especially helps in a state like Iowa. The fact is that Cain has very little money, and is zooming up pretty much entirely due to the strength of his South Carolina Debate performance, and subsequent interviews. I don't know much about the man, but from what little I do know he seems like a very genuine and likable fellow, somebody who is extremely qualified and very trustworthy. I look forward to seeing and hearing more from this excellent candidate.
Another part of the poll that might be a bit surprising is that Newt Gingrich still somehow has 12 percent of the vote, I guess thats entirely due to name recognition, because he's alienated so many people at this point its a wonder he's even still in the race. Michelle Bachmann continues to climb in the poll, she's up to 11 percent, and she's one of those candidates who would probably benefit most should Newt continue to sink. Tim Pawlenty is somehow at 10 percent despite basicly being a bland, boring nobody. And Ron Paul does surprisingly poorly in this poll, the only major candidate to not be in the double digits, albeit he's close at 8 percent. Certainly you could say that he's within the margin of error for 4th place, so many candidates are packed so close together, and of course if you looked at Ron Paul this time in 2007 he was at about 1 percent in Iowa, and still managed to get 10 percent of the vote in both the Ames Straw Poll and on Caucus Night. His starting point this time around is thus eight times stronger, and by that logic he will finish on Caucus night with 80 percent of the vote....OK maybe not :) . But this much stronger starting point definitely gives him a much better shot at winning the Caucuses, and he's also much stronger on the ground this time around in advance of the critical Ames Straw Poll in August , which could go a very long way toward making Ron the man to beat come Caucus night.
So some major developments in the 2012 Presidential Race, stay tuned to the Gladiator Blog for more coverage of Election 2012!
Sunday, May 29, 2011
New Hampshire Poll
A new CNN Poll out of New Hampshire, home of the First in the Nation Primary, has more good news for Ron Paul! We've already heard from Gallup that he's in 3rd place nationwide (second if Sarah Palin doesn't run), and now news from CNN that he's in second place in the Granite State! Naturally Mitt Romney, former Governor of neighboring Massachusetts, is in first place, he has 32 percent of the vote. Ron Paul is in clear second with 9 percen. Newt Gengrich and Rudy Guliani each have 6 percent, others have less. Of course its easy to look at a poll like that and think it doesnt matter who's in 2nd when Romney is so far ahead in 1st, but it really does for a number of reasons. First, whoever is Romney's main challenger will naturally get major attention, and stand to gain a lot in the polls as a result. Second, you can combine that with the fact that Ron is especially likely to win Iowa, where he's already got a machine in place and is working on winning the Iowa Straw Poll in August. A win in Iowa would of course give a huge boost to Ron heading into New Hampshire, which naturally means that the higher he already is at the time, the more likely he will be to vault all the way into first. Second place New Hampshire this early, a strong position for Congressman Ron Paul!
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