Monday, November 01, 2010

Election Predictions!

Here we are, this is the big post, the one where your friend and mine, the Gladiator, gives you his Official 2010 Election Predictions! Let's start with the House, since the polls are showing a double digit GOP Victory, with Gallup showing a Historic 15 point GOP House Victory, so it looks like the number will be huge. How huge? Well, I thought about going Race by Race, but seriously, House races are so tough to do going by that. I can't say for certain whether, for example, Barney Frank will win re-election in his seat, but I can say for sure that he might not, and that by itself tells you what you need to know to know that its going to be a huge number for the GOP. I'm tempted to play it Conservative, but with this Historic huge wave, I'm going to throw out my Conservative Prediction of 85 seats, which is what part of me is thinking, and say it's going to be 105 seat Pickup for the GOP, because in a historic wave like this you're really much more likely to miss low than miss high, so 105 seat pickup for the GOP is what I'm projecting.

On the Senate side, we know the polls show that the GOP will fall short of winning the Senate. We also know that whenever one party wins control of the House, they always, ALWAYS, win control of the Senate, and with this historic wave in their favor the GOP will take control of the Senate. So which state's polls will turn out to be wrong? That's the question. The easiest first answer is Delaware, because in truth there's been so little polling there lately, and what little there has been has tended to indicate very strongly a huge movement up by O'Donnell. I'm going to predict that O'Donnell wins in Delaware. I'm going to say that Manchin actually wins in West Virginia, he's run VERY far to the right, he's run as a Pro-Life, Pro-Marriage, Pro-Gun, Anti-Cap and Tax candidate, and most recently he's actually been complimenting Sarah Palin. This is a man who is literally to the right of multiple Republican Senate candidates, and yet he's the Democrat, so that's why he's going to win, he embraced the Tea Party's values when the other Democrats were running against it and getting beaten.

In other races, Republicans are about to sweep a ton of other races, you're looking at Pennsylvania, Kentucky, Ohio, Missouri, Colorado, Wisconsin, North Dakota, Arkansas, Florida, Nevada, and the Republicans are going to win them all. Connecticut is tougher, we know the polls show the disgraced Democrat still leading, but will a man who was caught lying about his war record, specificly by saying that he HAD one when he actually didnt, actually win a statewide election for ANYTHING, much less a prestigious Senate position? Louisiana voters are about to re-elect a man who was caught cheating on his wife with a prostitute, so maybe the sad answer is yes. I'm predicting that Blumenthal in CT, and Vitter in LA, will win their races despite the fact that voters should be ashamed of themselves if they vote for them.

Moving further west, its so close in California and Washington State. Sweet mercy. Obviously the polls continue to give the edge to the Democrat Incumbants in these states, but here again, the wave could push the Republican challengers over the top. I'm going to predict Republican wins in both states, going against the polls, going with the wave. Staying out west, in Alaska, it appears that Sarah Palin has helped Joe Miller to a comfortable lead out there, and with that scandal hitting hard just two days before the election he should win easily. If anybody hasn't heard, some local CBS reporters in Alaska were caught on a cell-phone, Jerry Brown style, but they didn't call Joe Miller a 'whore', they were caught conspiring against him, talking about trying to find an evil sex-offender in the crowd at an upcoming Joe Miller rally, presumably to make it look like Joe Miller=the candidate of sex offenders. They also talked about possibly using facebook to say 'Joe Miller got punched at rally' or some such, it was speculation on various ways of making Joe Miller look bad, really crazy, insane stuff. If you haven't heard that audio tape you should, its yellow journalism at its most entertaining, because it was caught on tape. That scandal means that Joe Miller will likely not just win, but win by double digits.

Its worth noting that at the beginning of this cycle, the Senate races actually seemed likely to go in favor of the Democrats, as there were more Republican seats up than Democrat seats, and there were some pretty seemingly vulnerable GOP seats, particularly in New Hampshire and Missouri. Those races are blowouts in favor of the Republicans, and seats that seemed totally safe for the Democrats like North Datoka and Arkansas are just totally blowout level gone.

So overall I'm going to say the GOP picks up 12 Senate seats, 105 House seats, and its just going to be a huge night for the GOP. But whether they win 12 and 105, or only 2 and 25, its going to be a super exciting night and I hope everyone here will watch Election Night, it's going to be Super Fun!

Sunday, October 31, 2010

Election Time is Near!

It's almost time for your friend and mine, the Gladiator, to make his bigtime Election 2010 Predictions! As you may know, I was SPOT ON nailing the 2004 Presidential Election Predictions, and hopefully I'll repeat that with my 2010 Predictions also! Right now I'd say its looking pretty good for the Republicans, but of course there's still time for me to take in last-minute data and change my mind. Some of the late data however is really trending pretty heavily in favor of the Republicans, including some House races that nobody thought Republicans had a chance in, and of course Delaware where folks had erroneously written off Christine O'Donnell, who now has cut her 'Bearded Marxist' opponent's lead to just six points in TWO different polls, and those polls are some days old now so it's entirely possible that as I write this Christine is currently in the lead.

Of course Delaware isn't the only state with the polls showing wildly different results depending on who you listen to, other such states include West Virginia, Alaska, and California. I'm going to do my best to gather all the best information that I can, and make an informed prediction that all of you, the fans, can enjoy and hopefully look at when the results are in and say 'wow, he got them all right!' :) . In the meantime, I'd like to say please remember to vote, it's Election season, it's super fun and rockin cool!

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

One week to go!

With less than a week to go until Election Day, there's major league good news out of Kentucky, with a huge Democrat polling company now saying that Rand Paul is ahead by 13 points! You know if a major Democrat polling company is saying a Republican is way ahead, its safe to say he really is :) . Other polls show safe, comfortable leads for 'Mama Grizzlies' in South Carolina and New Mexico, where in each case the Republican is not only a woman but also a minority, which makes each win extra cool! These women are the future of the Republican Party, proudly endorsed by our next President, Sarah Palin, and they're going to lead their states back strong through the Obama Recession!

Things are really looking up now, no doubt you've probably heard that the polls are looking good, but what you may not know is they're looking REALLY good! I have some polling results from a new pollster who isn't getting much attention right now, because he's new and admittedly a Conservative, but he polls a THOUSAND likely voters in each poll, and he may in fact be the MOST accurate of any pollster! These little known polls reveal that in fact Election Night may be the most incredible night in a very long time! I may have more to say about th Specifics of these polls in the days ahead, but in the meantime its clear that this election is shaping up to be VERY nice, very nice indeed!

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Great news!

As the countdown continues toward Election Day, there's just more and more great news all the time. As you are likely aware, the Tea Party recently scored major victories in Alaska and Delaware, defeating liberal Incumbants in record-breaking turnout Primaries. What you may or may not know is that in New York a Tea Party candidate defeated his Establishment opponent soundly, and now is within single digits of his liberal opponent in the General. The Tea Party is really scoring impressive wins, across America, but just like it doesn't matter how much you study until you actually take the test, or just like it doesn't matter how much your stock is worth until you actually sell, so too the true worth of the Tea Party popularity and success will be measured in November, not before. This is why we must all continue to support our good Conservative candidates all the way up to Election Day itself. We're on course for great victories nationwide, but we can't become complacent, let's not take anything for granted. Let's keep up the great work!

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Welcome back!

It's been a while since I last posted here on my Gladiator Blog, but I'd like to take this opportunity to welcome everyone back! It's an awesome time right now, so much cool stuff going on, and I want to let everybody know that your friend and mine, SirGladiator, is back and ready to help keep everyone informed and having fun! Whether it's the world of Sports, Wrestling, Video Games, Current Events, so much to talk about, so much to learn about, so much fun to be had! So sit back, enjoy, and welcome back,to Gladiatorland! It's the Gladiator Blog, and we're here for you, the fans!